☪️ Fasting and furious

IN-THE-INBOX: A 2-MIN READ

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And on that note…

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🗓️ Friday 7th March 2025

1. The Win-decate 🐴

2. Chelsea or Newcastle for Top 4? 🤔

3. Ruben’s defeated and defeatist 🗯️
   
   

THE BIG FESTIVAL

The Win-decate

We’d love to tip you some winners at Cheltenham next week, but that’s a bit out of our wheelhouse.

– However –

Our friends, BetChat, have got a one-off deal of £49.97 for tips every day of Cheltenham, Aintree and Punchestown!

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THE BIG FACTS

Pub Ammo

📈 PSG scored zero goals from 2.58xG vs Liverpool, whilst Arsenal banged seven from 2.35xG vs PSV.

➕ Since Feb 2020 Bruno Fernandes’ goals and assists have earned more points than any other player in the League, bar Salah. Don’t tell Roy Keane!

🇺🇾 Darwin Núñez has made more tackles (17) and committed more fouls (22) than he has had shots on target (10) this season in the PL.

🦁 Chelsea haven’t lost a competitive game in all competitions in the month of March since 2019 (23 matches).

🇧🇪 Jeremy Doku dribbled past Trent Alexander-Arnold 12 times in Liverpool’s 2-0 win over City.

🚨 Crystal Palace have won 9-, lost 9- & drawn 9 in the PL this season. Call the police!

THE BIG TIPS

Where Eagles Dare

THE BIG OPINION

The Mid Six

We’re getting into “they’re already on the beach” territory with some of the teams this season.

In fact, you can pretty much silo off 11th to 16th, and say that those clubs really have nothing to play for in the League, but pride. Just ask, Ruben (see his quote below).

Brentford, Palace, Spurs, United, West Ham, Everton.

Maybe we’ll call them 'The Mid Six’.

Despite signs of form among them, we suspect their intensity will drop as the season unwinds.

(While Palace are the 3rd most in form side in the League, they look destined to finish between 10th and 15th for the 13th consecutive season. They won’t keep this up.)

This is a very inexact science, BUT there’s a feeling that those are the games where you’re probably going to pick up more points than ordinarily expected. Especially towards the end of the season.

Looking at the race for the top four, Newcastle, Forest and Bournemouth still have to play five of those six sides. As well as Ipswich and Leicester.

Chelsea only get to face just three of them, yet are odds-on.

We’re still against them in the race for the top four.

Newcastle would still be our shout at 3/1 with SpreadEx.

THE BIG FANTASY

Fasting and furious

It’s Ramadan this month.

Someone did a bit of a dive into Salah’s G/A during Ramadan over the years. 👇

Does fasting slow down your output?

The data below might sway you one way or another on the Salah captaincy conundrum...

THE BIG QUOTE

Tell us what you really think.

THE SOFA SCHEDULE

Theatre of Nightmares

S A T
12:30 Forest vs Man City TNT Sports 1
17:30 Brentford vs Aston Villa Sky Sports
20:00 Wolves vs Everton TNT Sports 1

S U N
14:00 Spurs vs Bournemouth Sky Sports
16:30 Man United vs Arsenal Sky Sports

M O N
20:00 West Ham vs Newcastle Sky Sports

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All the best,
The Big Six